Resolution Criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sovereign nation officially announces or confirms the purchase of Bitcoin as part of its national reserves, treasury, or investment portfolio at any point between January 1, 2025, and December 31, 2025 (11:59 PM PT).
• The purchase must be publicly confirmed through official government statements, press releases, or credible media reporting.
• Purchases made by government-affiliated entities or central banks will qualify if they are directly tied to the national reserves or treasury.
• The resolution will rely on official confirmations and widely recognized reporting.
If no such announcement occurs by the end date, the market will resolve to “No.”
Resolution Date:
December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM PT.
Update 2025-10-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Bitcoin ETFs do not count for resolution purposes. Only direct purchases of actual Bitcoin (BTC) will qualify, similar to El Salvador's approach. Wrapped BTC in any form also does not count.
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3.00Polymarket clarified
Per the rules, "this market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of any sovereign UN member state announces... that they bought Bitcoin for the first time." Purchasing shares of a Bitcoin ETF does not constitute a direct purchase of Bitcoin, and therefore does not qualify.
@predyx_markets Does Bitcoin ETF count? Will this market resolve the same as Polymarket?
@Simon74fe No Bitcoin ETF will not count, neither will Wrapped BTC in any form. It has to be actual Bitcoin (BTC) just like El Salvador.