By the end of 2024, Ukraine will sign a peace treaty that cedes all currently Russia-occupied land
Plus
15
Ṁ492Jan 2
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"Currently" refers to whatever the state of the land is at the time of signing.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
By the end of 2024, will Ukraine still hold any of the Russian territory it currently holds?
84% chance
Will there be a large prisoner exchange between Israel and Palestine by end of 2024?
35% chance
Will there be peace talks between Russia and Ukraine in 2024?
15% chance
Will Russia take more territory than what Ukraine will regain between beginning and EOY 2024
76% chance
Will Ukraine regain control over Crimea before the end of 2024?
3% chance
At the end of the war, will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territory they didn’t control at the start?
81% chance
Ukraine and Russia conflict ends within 2025
26% chance
Will Ukraine agree to a peace treaty that gives Russia control of Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk before 2100?
59% chance
Will there be a Ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia before the end of 2024?
9% chance
Will a ceasefire be agreed between Russia and Ukraine in 2024?
11% chance