Will Ukraine regain control over Crimea before the end of 2024?
➕
Plus
380
Ṁ190k
Dec 30
3%
chance

Will resolve to YES, if at any point before the end of 2024, Ukrainian forces control majority of Crimea territory

resolution source: Institute for the Study of War, https://www.understandingwar.org/

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Should probably have larger separation from

predictedYES

@MartinRandall cause atm it's implying a very small chance of them taking it in 2024.

predictedNO

@Daniel_MC That sounds about right to me.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules