Will a US city break 12 million people by 2050? | Manifold

Will a US city break 12 million people by 2050?

Basic

4

Ṁ38

2052

31%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

New York has long been the most populous city in the United States, but its population plateaued around 8 million in the 1950's and 60's[1]. Will any city in the US break 12 million people by the year 2050?

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographic_history_of_New_York_City

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Long-term Markets

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

I think for this to be a good market you should get extremely explicit about how you define "city".

predictedNO

@EvanDaniel Sure, I'm using census data for this market... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Place_(United_States_Census_Bureau)

Related questions

Will the US population exceed 500 million by 2050?

Will there be a city with a pop of 200,000 or less in it in 2023 have more than 1 million people living in it by 2060?

Which 3 US cities will see the largest raw increase in population over the 20s, as judged by the 2030 census?

Will there be a new US State by 2055?

Will the UK population exceed 70 million before 2035?

Will there be a city with a pop of 200,000 or less in it in 2023 have more than 1 million people living in it by 2080?

Will the US population be >500M by 2050?

What will happen before 2050? (Mega market)

Will the population of San Francisco reach 950,000 before 2030?

Will there be over 9 billion people by 2037?

Related questions

Will the US population exceed 500 million by 2050?

Will there be a city with a pop of 200,000 or less in it in 2023 have more than 1 million people living in it by 2080?

Will there be a city with a pop of 200,000 or less in it in 2023 have more than 1 million people living in it by 2060?

Will the US population be >500M by 2050?

Which 3 US cities will see the largest raw increase in population over the 20s, as judged by the 2030 census?

What will happen before 2050? (Mega market)

Will there be a new US State by 2055?

Will the population of San Francisco reach 950,000 before 2030?

Will the UK population exceed 70 million before 2035?

Will there be over 9 billion people by 2037?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules