Will autonomous weapons be used to kill >1000 humans before 2030 in an offensive strike?
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Resolves as Yes if the autonomous weapons, e.g. drones, kill over 1000 humans as part of an 'offensive strike' - an event lasting a relatively short time and not necessarily part of a military act.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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The US is formally against autonomous weapons. China is against their use but develops them anyway. But anyway China is unlikely to kill 1,000 people in a military conflict, unless a war with Taiwan breaks out, which is unlikely IMO. I think most countries probably fall into one of these two categories.
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