Will this market resolve below 50% probability
10
Ṁ81May 2
51%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is a self-referential market about prediction market dynamics. The market will resolve YES if the final probability shown on this market is below 50% at the time of resolution. It will resolve NO if the final probability is 50% or higher.
This creates an interesting game theory situation where traders must consider whether voting for what they want (by buying YES or NO) might actually work against their interests.
Resolution will occur on May 1, 2025 based on the final probability displayed on the market at that time.
Genuinely have no clue what to vote on here
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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