Will there be fewer than 500 000 malaria deaths worldwide in 2025?
Plus
29
Ṁ18602025
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves based on the number in the WHO World malaria report. https://www.who.int/teams/global-malaria-programme/reports In 2020 the number was 627 000.
2021: 619 000
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@shankypanky 2025. I started this before I really had come to grips with how manifold worked. Wanted do make it more of a "prediction competition" that's why I thought it would be more fun to have people predict a few years in advance.
Changing the resolution date now.
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be over 100,000 global malaria deaths in [each of 2028..2034]?
Will there be any year in the 2020s with fewer than 100,000 malaria deaths?
20% chance
Will Malaria Deaths go up in 2023?
33% chance
Will any country eliminate malaria within its borders in 2024?
59% chance
Will there be fewer death due to infectious diseases in 2024 compared to 2023? (Wordwide)
55% chance
Will a country in sub-Saharan Africa be declared malaria-free by the WHO before 2030?
39% chance
By when will Malaria be Eradicated?
Will the WHO achieve its goal to eradicate malaria in 30 countries by 2030?
36% chance
Will there be fewer death due to infectious diseases in 2024 compared to 2023? (in the United States)
44% chance
Will any of the GiveWell top recommended charities be Malaria-related at the end of 2030?
55% chance