Will AI win a gold on IMO before it wins a gold on IOI?
Plus
21
Ṁ27852040
45%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve to 50% if somehow it happens at exactly the same time. 100% if before, 0% if after.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
69% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2025?
3% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
68% chance
Will AI get at least bronze on the IMO by end of 2025?
80% chance
What years will AI win IMO bronze (or higher)?
Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2027?
84% chance
Will an AI get at least silver on International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI) by end of 2025?
75% chance
Will an AI score 1st place on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
26% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2030?
88% chance
Conditional on AI getting at least bronze on the IMO, will it get gold by 2025?
69% chance