Who will win the 2030 Fields Medals?
Basic
16
Ṁ38352030
30%
20%
Will Sawin
9%
Ruixiang Zhang
9%
Ewain Gwynne
7%
Jeremy Hahn
7%
Amol Aggarwal
7%
Alex Smith
5%
Alexander Dunn
1.1%
Hong Wang
1%
Dor Minzer
Each winner resolves to 25% assuming there are 4 winners. Probability mass is distributed evenly among all winners. This will resolve to the real name of the winners, nothing else. If someone puts a duplicate option, it will resolve to the first option.
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