Who will be in the Israeli government following the next elections?
Who will be in the Israeli government following the next elections?
Basic
17
แน1140Dec 31
82%
Benny Gantz
72%
Yair Lapid
66%
Naftali Bennett
65%
Avigdor Lieberman
60%
Yair Golan
50%
Nir Barkat
41%
Yitzhak Goldknopf
39%
Yoav Gallant
29%
Bezalel Smotrich
27%
Mansour Abbas
25%
Benjamin Netanyahu
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To be clear, "in the government" means having a cabinet position, correct? And not just being part of a party in the coalition?
@UnspecifiedPerson No it means being a member of the government. You don't have to be a minister. Of course in practice, these guys are all likely to have a portfolio if they are in the government.
Dark Speculator here thinking it will be Gantz+Lapid+Meretz or Gantz+Haredim or something like that.
I mean, the first new government formed after new elections. If there is another round and the same government, that does NOT resolve.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEightโs performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 โ $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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