Will a major streaming service adapt A Fire Upon the Deep by Vernor Vinge into a television series by 01/01/2032?
Basic
2
Ṁ6
2032
24%
No.
8%
Yes: Netflix
8%
Yes: Amazon Prime Video
8%
Yes: Apple TV+
8%
Yes: Disney+
8%
Yes: HBO Max
8%
Yes: Hulu
8%
Yes: Paramount+
8%
Yes: Peacock
8%
Other

Background "A Fire Upon the Deep" is a critically acclaimed 1992 science fiction novel by Vernor Vinge that won the Hugo Award for Best Novel. The book is known for its complex world-building, unique alien species, and exploration of different zones of thought in the galaxy. Despite its popularity in science fiction circles, no streaming service has yet announced plans to adapt the novel.

Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES for the streaming service that first releases a television series adaptation of "A Fire Upon the Deep" before January 1, 2032. For resolution purposes:

  • A "television series" must be a scripted, episodic show (not a film or miniseries)

  • The adaptation must be explicitly based on Vinge's novel and marketed as such

  • The service must have officially released at least one episode to their platform

  • If multiple services collaborate on the project, resolution will be for the primary streaming platform

  • If a streaming service announces but doesn't release the series by the deadline, the market resolves NO

  • If no streaming service releases an adaptation by January 1, 2032, the market resolves NO

Considerations

  • Complex sci-fi adaptations often require significant budgets and technical capabilities

  • The novel's multiple storylines and alien species could present unique production challenges

  • Streaming services have shown increasing interest in adapting classic sci-fi properties

  • Rights acquisition would be necessary before any adaptation could proceed

  • The success of other sci-fi adaptations like "Foundation" and "Dune" may influence streaming services' interest in similar properties

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Thanks for the book rec!

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