Will robots be able to load a dishwasher in the next five years?
Will robots be able to load a dishwasher in the next five years?
Plus
57
Ṁ84052028
78%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
My profits 😭
Accidentally left a limit order too large, forgot to cancel it, got No. (I think the market was created because I wanted to make a Yes bet at 7% with someone at Manifest.)
bought Ṁ100 YES
We'll definitely see a robot loading a dishwasher before the end of this year.
Dishwasher unloading shown in the video (teleoperated though)
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Will a reliable and general household robot be developed before January 1st, 2030?
59% chance
Will I be able to buy a commercial humanoid robot that does useful household labor (e.g. laundry, dishes) by EOY 2025?
15% chance
What year will the robot dishwasher market resolve?
Will a robot do my laundry before 2034?
69% chance
Will we have robot housekeepers by 2025?
16% chance
Will robots become our primary household chefs by the year 2035?
13% chance
Will there be a consumer robot (cleaning dishes, doing chores, etc) at any price, that is widely available by end 2025?
12% chance
By 2030, will dishwashers be considered as safe and effective as washing dishes by hand?
45% chance
Will I be able to purchase a robot that folds my laundry for me by the end of 2030?
72% chance
Will a robot be able to change a diaper with no mess or fuss in a domestic setting by April of 2028?
10% chance