In which year will Tesla release a robotaxi? | Manifold

In which year will Tesla release a robotaxi?

Basic

17

Ṁ826

2031

1.1%

2024

14%

2025

42%

2026

14%

2027

9%

2028

9%

2029

10%

Later

The release must have large coverage; I should be able to call the robotaxi anywhere I can call an Uber. A fully self-driving car which is not marketed as a taxi service will not count.

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If a software update is pushed to existing Teslas allowing owners to "rent out" their Teslas as self-driving robotaxis, but no new vehicle is released, will that be sufficient to resolve to yes?

Yes, so long as the coverage is as general as Uber/Lyft.

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