Will it be possible to obtain FDA approval for a drug based on protein folding stimulations without human clinical trials by 2035?
Plus
20
Ṁ5392034
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will result in a YES if the FDA adjusts their guidelines to allow for drugs to gain FDA approval without human clinical testing before 2035.
Will result in a NO if the FDA still requires human clinical testing to obtain approval for any drug on 00:00 UTC 2035/01/01.
Close date updated to 2035-01-01 12:00 am
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will a vaccine for HIV be approved by the FDA by 2030?
68% chance
Will a drug designed with significant contribution from an AlphaFold-like system pass a Phase I trial by end of 2025?
37% chance
Will a senolytic drug be used clinically to slow, prevent, or reverse aging by the end of 2033?
59% chance
Will a drug that didn't go through human clinical trials be approved by 2034?
29% chance
Will the protein folding problem be essentially solved before 2040?
69% chance
Will a drug to be used by most healthy adults be approved by 2043 year end?
66% chance
Will an AI-designed drug get FDA approval by the end of 2025?
30% chance
By 2030, will any treatment be shown to increase human lifespan in a randomized controlled trial?
The FDA will approve an AI developed cure before the end of the decade (<2030) for a previously incurable major illness.
54% chance
Will AOH1996 be FDA approved before 2040?
44% chance