Will 1 Euro be worth less than 1 US Dollar before 2026?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will resolve as Yes if, at any time between 1 January 2024 and 1 January 2026, the EUR/USD exchange rate as reported by Google Finance is less than 1.0000.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
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1,000
3.00Looking at this list, I think President Trump might mention countries with strong trade ties or competitive markets with the USA. Personally, I find these discussions fascinating because they reveal how global relationships shift with policy changes and economic priorities. It reminds me how complex international cooperation truly is.
2 player games In the context of global economic volatility, especially with inflation in Europe and US interest rate policy, is it really possible for EUR/USD to fall below 1.0000 during this period? Do you think this risk is high or low?
@DevonFritz in theory, higher tariffs should raise the value of the dollar, but that would only be if it was done more intelligently (ie. no tariffs on input products, well though out rates etc.)