One year after its release, will Kendrick Lamar’s Not Like Us be in the top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100?
One year after its release, will Kendrick Lamar’s Not Like Us be in the top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100?
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Will Kendrick Lamar’s Not Like Us be in the Top 10 of the Billboard Hot 100 one year after its release (May 4th, 2025)? This date will be covered by the Week of May 10th edition (expected to be released on May 4th, 2025).
Note: This market will be predictive, and thus will be closing the day before the edition is expected to be released.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00