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Currently 28% of transgender youth live in states where best-practice medical care for transgender youth is banned, as reported by LGBT MAP: https://www.lgbtmap.org/equality-maps/healthcare_youth_medical_care_bans
If the above source stops reporting data at resolution time, data from Human Rights Campaign (https://www.hrc.org/resources/attacks-on-gender-affirming-care-by-state-map) will be used, or other similarly credible source.
Update 2025-02-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): States Defying Orders and In-Practice Access
If a state law or order banning best-practice care is not effectively enforced (i.e. patients continue to have in-practice access to care), this will count as not being a ban for resolution purposes.
For example, if a state directs healthcare providers to continue offering treatments despite a federal order, then that state would not be considered as banning care, potentially leading to a NO resolution.
Update 2025-02-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Update from creator
The resolution will use the care standard as it existed at the time the market was created.
Even if a reputable medical body later changes its guidelines or deems the care no longer best-practice for minors, that change will not affect the resolution criteria.
@TobiasPace If states defy the orders, such that patients can in-practice still access the same care, it may resolve NO. For example, NYS is ordering NYU Langone to continue offering treatments contrary to the federal order.
@lumi Also, for the purpose of this question, in general, I am deferring to LGBT MAP's barometer unless they stop publishing.