Will Neuralink release a mass market commercial neural implant by 2030? | Manifold

Will Neuralink release a mass market commercial neural implant by 2030?

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18

Ṁ658

2030

25%

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1W

1M

ALL

Neuralink Corporation is a neurotechnology company that develops implantable brain–computer interfaces(BCIs) founded by Elon Musk.

Close date updated to 2030-01-01 12:00 am

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This closes Jan 16th this year, but can't really resolve until 2030? This market seems broken as designed.

predictedNO

@EdwardKmett Updating the close date, thanks

"mass market", i.e. for non-medical uses?

predictedNO

@ersatz Correct

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Will Neuralink be available for people without a disability in the US by 2035?

Will Neuralink implant its device in five or more patients before the end of 2024?

Will Neuralink successfully enable telepathy using its technology by 2030?

Will Elon Musk put a Neuralink chip in his brain before 2030?

Will Neuralink successfully enable a paralyzed person to walk again using its technology by 2030?

Will a fully functional brain-computer interface be commercially available by 2030?

Will Neuralink be used for reparative therapy before the end of 2035?

When will be the first year that 10,000 people receive Neuralink brain implants?

Will I personally know someone with a Neuralink or other brain chip implant by the end of 2032?

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