Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Texas?
Plus
114
Ṁ24kresolved Nov 6
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
This refers to the regularly scheduled November election for the seat currently occupied by Ted Cruz, not any possible special election. If an independent candidate wins, this will resolve to NO, even if they caucus with the Democrats. Party switches after the election are not important; what matters is how the candidate appears on the ballot.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Democratic Senate candidate win a larger vote share in Texas than the presidential candidate?
92% chance
Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any election through 2026?
31% chance
Will a Democratic presidential candidate win Texas before 2033?
61% chance
Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any election through 2036?
58% chance
Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any election through 2032?
40% chance
Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any election through 2038?
62% chance
Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2028 presidential election?
13% chance
Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any election through 2030?
43% chance
Will a Democrat win Texas for President by 2050?
75% chance
Which party will win the 2026 Texas Senate race?