Will a human walk on the moon by the end of 2024
Plus
71
Ṁ18kDec 31
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if a human steps foot on the moon (they can wear a space suit) between market creation and end of year 2024.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
FYI there is a real-money Kalshi market which is also about a moon landing in 2024: https://kalshi.com/markets/moon/nasa-lands-on-the-moon#moon-25
<2025:
/levifinkelstein/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-by-th
/AmmonLam/will-nasa-land-a-person-on-the-moon-97aac7e1ff3b
<2026:
/Treldman/will-there-be-a-new-human-moon-land
/BoltonBailey/will-nasa-land-a-person-on-the-moon
/AmmonLam/will-nasa-land-a-person-on-the-moon-f11b40742c45
/wadimiusz/by-the-start-of-2026-will-any-human
Later:
/Odoacre/will-a-human-astronaut-land-on-the
/StanPinsent/will-a-human-land-on-the-moon-by-20
Related questions
Related questions
Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2030?
74% chance
Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030?
70% chance
Will a human walk on the moon again before 2029?
62% chance
Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2028?
28% chance
Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2029?
47% chance
Will a human walk on the moon again before 2032?
79% chance
Will a human land on the moon by 2028?
18% chance
Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2031?
75% chance
Will an animal other than human walk on the moon before the end of 2040?
39% chance
Will a human walk on the moon again before 2031?
82% chance