Will the average American man weigh >200lbs in 2030? | Manifold

Will the average American man weigh >200lbs in 2030?

Plus

19

Ṁ1268

2030

34%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Currently the average adult male in the United States weighs 199.8lbs according to the CDC.

This market resolves to Yes if according to the best available data at the start of 2030, the average American adult male weighs >200lbs.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

Remember that the population will continue to age, which seems like it will clearly push weight up by at least a tiny bit

@MatthewRitter I'm pretty sure the relevant data source is only considering adults.

@jonsimon older adults weigh more generally

Related market:

Related questions

How much will the average American man weigh in 2030?

Will I weigh <145 pounds by Jan 1, 2025?

Will I weigh under 200 lbs on 2024-12-31? (-1.55 lbs/week)

Will US obesity be half or less of the current rate in 2050?

Will I ever be above 20% body fat before 2035?

Will the average American woman weigh >170lbs in 2030?

Will the average weight of Americans decrease between 2024 and 2025

Will my average weight be under 100 lbs in 2024?

More than half of humans will be overweight or obese by end of 2035?

Will I weigh over 150lb at the end of 2024?`

Related questions

How much will the average American man weigh in 2030?

Will the average American woman weigh >170lbs in 2030?

Will I weigh <145 pounds by Jan 1, 2025?

Will the average weight of Americans decrease between 2024 and 2025

Will I weigh under 200 lbs on 2024-12-31? (-1.55 lbs/week)

Will my average weight be under 100 lbs in 2024?

Will US obesity be half or less of the current rate in 2050?

More than half of humans will be overweight or obese by end of 2035?

Will I ever be above 20% body fat before 2035?

Will I weigh over 150lb at the end of 2024?`

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules