Will Jimmy Carter live to be 101 years old? | Manifold

Will Jimmy Carter live to be 101 years old?

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101

Ṁ94k

2025

10%

chance

1D

1W

1M

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1,000

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New market for the halfway point:

/jks/will-jimmy-carter-live-to-be-100-ye

Why are people so bearish? Relative to the base rate?

@JoeBoyle He's been in hospice for like 20 months.

@Robincvgr Still a buy for me at this price but it's still definitely below 40% IMO

bought Ṁ100 YES

The odds of a 100 year old living to 101 are roughly 40%

Plenty more at NO at 9% and 11%. Liquidity for you YES buyers.

opened a Ṁ1,000 NO at 9% order

Plenty of shares betting NO in limit orders by me. YES bettors, come and get them.

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