Will Artemis 2 return to Earth with all of its crew alive?
Basic
7
Ṁ4202025
95%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market closes when Artemis 2 returns to Earth (resolves YES), a member of its crew dies during the mission (resolves NO), or the mission is scrapped before T–0 (resolves N/A), whichever occurs first.
Related markets:
/jks/will-artemis-2-return-to-earth-with (this question)
/jks/will-artemis-3-return-to-earth-with
/jks/will-artemis-4-return-to-earth-with
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Updating closing date to 30 September 2025 due to delays:
Related questions
Related questions
Will Artemis 3 return to Earth with all of its crew alive?
89% chance
Will Artemis 5 return to Earth with all of its crew alive?
91% chance
Will Artemis 4 return to Earth with all of its crew alive?
93% chance
Will Artemis 6 return to Earth with all of its crew alive?
91% chance
Will Artemis 2 fly without crew?
34% chance
Will Artemis III be flown with a crewed landing?
48% chance
Will Artemis 3 be a crewed moon landing?
62% chance
Will both of the stranded NASA astronauts return to earth alive?
98% chance
Artemis III flown with a crewed landing? x Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
Will Artemis II launch before 2027?
75% chance