When will the successor to the Switch be officially revealed?
Basic
20
Ṁ15k
resolved Jul 24
Resolved
NO
June 2024
Resolved
NO
October 2023
Resolved
NO
March 2024
Resolved
NO
April 2024
Resolved
NO
May 2024
Resolved
NO
November 2023
Resolved
NO
December 2023
Resolved
NO
January 2024
Resolved
NO
February 2024

Resolves as YES for the month in which the successor to the Switch is officially announced by Nintendo. Resolves as NO for all other months at the end of the month or upon a different month resolving as YES.

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bought Ṁ135 NO

@Eliza May can resolve NO. I think the market linked below is a suitable replacement, no need to add other months.

https://manifold.markets/AVPxxd/when-will-the-next-nintendo-console?r=S3JhYWxuYXh4

Okay, put @ mods (no space) in the future when the June one expires to make sure someone comes along to resolve it.

The original creator of this question included only the answers that are currently listed. If we use up May and June without any of them resolving Yes, the question will just end. Are people interested in adding additional months, or have you found a suitable replacement market that is ran by an active creator?

Looks like April can resolve No?

@Eliza They acknowledged the Switch's successor, and say they will make an announcement about it in this fiscal year. Might count as a reveal (link: https://twitter.com/NintendoCoLtd/status/1787736518762881197)

Welp. Now we get to fight about whether this market resolves to the actual announcement, or whether this “announcement of the announcement” counts.

@Kronopath That is not (yet) an announcement. It just says an announcement is coming.

Just realised the account of the creator of this question has been deleted. So what should we do

@tpking It's not an issue, a moderator will resolve it when the answer is known. Keep on trading!

@Eliza Got it. How could we contact the mod?

@tpking 👋 Hi, what do you need?

@Eliza Oic nothing at the moment actually. Thanks!!

@Eliza can you resolve the months of december and november the way october was resolved?

@Tripping How about January 🤔

@Eliza yeah that too

bought Ṁ100 NO

@Tripping @Eliza can you resolve Feb and Mar please? Thanks

@tpking No problem.

November and December need to resolve “No”.

How stupid would I be if I bet No on November 2023 and December 2023 JUST on the premise that no company would announce an unreleased product in the Christmas season run-up?

@Eliza You aren’t going to be turning massive profits if you do, but if you’ve mana to spare then why not?

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