This question will resolve as Yes if the human population decreases by at least 10% in any period of 5 years or less, and the cause is principally due to Artificial Intelligence systems. Years are here defined as consecutive calendar years.

I.e. resolves YES if both of the following resolve YES:

• https://manifold.markets/jack/global-catastrophe-series-by-2100-w and

• https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1495/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-a-global-catastrophe-occurs-will-it-be-due-to-an-artificial-intelligence-failure-mode/

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

The aggregate of 291 Metaculus community forecasters was 41% on Jul 21, 2023.