[M1500 Subsidy] By when will a government release a virus as an attack?

Will an AI system design a pathogen which leads WHO to declare an emergency of some sort by the end of the July, 2030?

Will there be a major bioattack by EOY 2025 where an LLM provided relevant information to the attacker(s)?

Will an engineered virus cause a pandemic before 2035?

[Metaculus] Will there be reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 before 2026?

Which country will release an artificial pathogen from a lab that kills 1 million?

Will there be a new large-scale virus that infects more than 100,000,000 unique people before 2030?

Novel human infectious disease identified by WHO before EOY2025?

Will we get a new biological weapon (like a virus, bacteria or fungi) before 2030

From 2023-2027, will there be a computer viral infection infecting a higher % of computers than the worst of the 90s/00s