Will taking annual MRIs of the smartest alignment researchers turn out alignment-relevant by 2033? | Manifold

Will taking annual MRIs of the smartest alignment researchers turn out alignment-relevant by 2033?

Plus

18

Ṁ837

2034

7%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#️ AI Alignment

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

@yasmeen this one's for you

@ArnavBansal ha thanks! MRI alone wouldn’t be sufficient and assumes incomplete a priori knowledge with brain activity and any possible alignment output (based on what we know now)

I don't think MRIs are granular enough to even begin to implement the plan of "simulate the process of AI alignment researchers conducting such research".

Related questions

Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 5 years?

+19% 1d49% chance

Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 3 years?

Will I have a career as an alignment researcher by the end of 2024?

Conditional on their being no AI takeoff before 2030, will the majority of AI researchers believe that AI alignment is solved?

Will some piece of AI capabilities research done in 2023 or after be net-positive for AI alignment research?

Will Tetraspace have published a research paper on AI alignment by March 1, 2025?

Will we solve AI alignment by 2026?

Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 2 years?

Will xAI significantly rework their alignment plan by the start of 2026?

Conditional on their being no AI takeoff before 2050, will the majority of AI researchers believe that AI alignment is solved?

Related questions

Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 5 years?

Will Tetraspace have published a research paper on AI alignment by March 1, 2025?

Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 3 years?

Will we solve AI alignment by 2026?

Will I have a career as an alignment researcher by the end of 2024?

Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 2 years?

Conditional on their being no AI takeoff before 2030, will the majority of AI researchers believe that AI alignment is solved?

Will xAI significantly rework their alignment plan by the start of 2026?

Will some piece of AI capabilities research done in 2023 or after be net-positive for AI alignment research?

Conditional on their being no AI takeoff before 2050, will the majority of AI researchers believe that AI alignment is solved?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules