Will a political process toward a full fledged palestinian state begin before the end of 2024?
Basic
9
Ṁ212Jan 1
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Political process being understood as official discussions aiming to give proper statehood to Palestine
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Needs far more specific criteria to be tradable imo.
On one end of the spectrum the political process is already underway. Israel has made it clear that neither Fatah nor Hamas can be in power before a Palestinian state can be considered.
On the other end, the political process has never been underway because no plan has ever been genuinely viable.
@PaulBenjaminPhotographer there's certainly not any ongoing official discussions aiming toward giving proper statehood to Palestine. Last time was Camp David summit, iirc.
Can you please provide an hypothetical ambiguous situation where the question would be difficult to resolve?
Related questions
Related questions
Will the current Israel-Palestine conflict end in 2024?
7% chance
Will Israel announce victory over Hamas in 2024?
39% chance
Will Hamas hold territory in the Gaza Strip at the end of 2024?
65% chance
Will Mahmoud Abbas remain the President of Palestine until the end of 2024?
79% chance
Will Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state by the end of 2029?
43% chance
Will Hamas still control Gaza at the end of 2024?
81% chance
Will the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030?
27% chance
Will Gaza be de facto controlled by Israel at the end of 2024?
14% chance
Will the 3rd intifada begin in 2024?
22% chance
Will Benjamin Netanyahu continue to lead Israel by the end of 2024?
93% chance