Who will develop the first model to reach 1500 ELO on LLMArena Text leaderboard?
6
Ṁ8222027
15%
OpenAI
6%
Anthropic
44%
Google / Deepmind
3%
Deepseek
20%
X / Grok
2%
Mistral
2%
Alibaba
3%
Meta
2%
Microsoft
3%
Resolves YES for the first company building a model that reaches 1500 on the Text Arena and NO for others.
Resolves N/A for everyone if the Text Arena is deprecated with no obvious replacement.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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