Which episode of Black Mirror is 2025 most likely to resemble?
Which episode of Black Mirror is 2025 most likely to resemble?
3
Ṁ71
2026
20%
Other
13%
Hang the DJ
9%
Nosedive
9%
Metalhead
8%
The Waldo Moment
8%
The National Anthem
8%
Shut Up and Dance
5%
USS Callister
4%
San Junipero
4%
Arkangel
4%
Fifteen Million Merits
4%
The Entire History of You
4%
White Christmas

Inspired by @cloudprism's market, except this one actually has a chance to resolve! Resolves to poll at market close. To be valid for resolution, episodes must have been released before 2025.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana Ṁ and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash S to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
S1.00
→ $1.00
, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules