Add your props. Please be as clear and concise as possible to avoid confusion.
Polymarket market referenced - https://polymarket.com/event/world-chess-championship-2024-winner?tid=1731990671056
I might not be following the next two rounds so please prompt me when the options resolve. If you have any interesting props please also suggest them and I'll add them
@dlin007 What about pawn captures? Is this about where the pawn started, or what file it's on now? How about a move for white like gxh6?
I have this other market with similar but more unusual happenings to watch out for: /Ernie/rosen-score-of-weird-thing-that-wil
@dlin007 resolution source is lichess post-game engine analysis. i will average both players' ACL to resolve
@Weezing Is this live rating per 2700chess.com, or official fide rating? fide rounds to the nearest whole point, which could make a difference.
Although it's possible (though unlikely) Ding plays another tournament in December, so we might not have a post-match official fide rating.
@DanielTilkin didn't create the option but I assume it's literally just his live rating at the end of the tournament
@dlin007 What? Why is this resolved?
EDIT: I guess you meant Gukesh wins before Ding. I thought it meant that Gukesh achieves his first win in a classical portion.
@Weezing I mean it's unambiguous? Your interpretation would be 'Gukesh gets his first win (of the match) during the classical games' as opposed to the first win. But maybe i should have added 'of the match' to be clearer
@dlin007 I disagree that it is unambigious. Depends if the question is asking only about Gukesh wins (only mentions him) or it includes Ding wins. I would expect your question to be worded like "Gukesh wins before Ding in classical" or "Gukesh is the first to win in classical". But it's fine, I should have read it more carefully when you were betting NO.
After drawing of lots Gukesh has white during game 1. Given that the match will likely end before game 14 and his main second Gajewski has perhaps the best 1.e4 repertoire in the world, this is a 90% lock. It also means a game 1 victory is on the cards
@Calibrate None, I though when was adding it for the first time that it did not go through, so I added it again.