Will Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize by the end of 2028? | Manifold

Will Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize by the end of 2028?

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bought Ṁ20 YES

Gaza ceasefire and Ukraine peace deal will be pretty promising.

A trilateral military reduction, while unlikely, would also be worthy.

Question is whether his disregard for international norms is fatal to it.

bought Ṁ100 NO from 16% to 15%

bought Ṁ50 YES

I want to trust his promises 🤣

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