Background

Sean "Diddy" Combs is currently facing federal investigations into allegations of sex trafficking, prostitution, and racketeering conspiracy. While Donald Trump has previously pardoned hip-hop artists like Lil Wayne and Kodak Black during his presidency, the circumstances surrounding Diddy's case are notably different.

Context

• Diddy has been publicly critical of Trump in the past and opposed his presidency

• Gene Deal, Diddy's former bodyguard, has indicated that Trump was displeased with Diddy's opposition

• The serious nature of the allegations against Diddy differs from previous Trump pardons in the music industry

• Trump would need to win the 2024 presidential election to have pardon power

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to YES if Donald Trump issues a presidential pardon to Sean "Diddy" Combs for any federal charges by January 20, 2029 (the end of the next presidential term). It will resolve to NO if:

• Trump does not become president

• Trump becomes president but does not pardon Diddy

• Diddy is not charged with federal crimes

Things to Consider

• The severity and nature of any formal charges that may be filed

• The outcome of the 2024 presidential election

• Trump's historical pattern of pardons and personal relationships

• The ongoing federal investigation's findings and timeline