Will abortion be more morally acceptable among Americans in 2025 than in 2024, according to Gallup?
Will abortion be more morally acceptable among Americans in 2025 than in 2024, according to Gallup?
Plus
9
Ṁ620Aug 1
57%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Gallup polls Americans every year in May on the moral acceptability of a diverse list of issues. Gallup lists an annual poll on the moral acceptability of abortion as far back as 2001, when 42% considered abortion morally acceptable. In 2022, for the first time since Gallup began polling this question, abortion was morally acceptable to a majority of Americans, at 52%. This rose to 54% in 2024.
Will Gallup polling show 55% or more of Americans consider abortion morally acceptable in 2025?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ100 NO3mo
Americans, especially men, will reject the wholesale slaughter of babies like never before!
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
Will the Guttmacher Institute report that the number of US abortions in 2024 increased over 2023?
86% chance
Will global approval of the US decline in 2024, according to Gallup?
91% chance
Will a quarter of Americans morally accept polygamy in 2025, according to Gallup?
18% chance
In 2028, will AI rank at least as high as abortion on Gallup's poll of America's most important problem?
56% chance
Will 60% of Americans approve abortion "for any reason" before 2030?
41% chance
Will Americans' confidence in the Supreme Court decline in 2025, according to Gallup?
64% chance
Will American opinion of AI improve in 2025, according to Gallup?
44% chance
Will abortion be a big political issue in the US in 2028?
93% chance
Will Americans believe AI does more good than harm in 2025, according to Gallup?
15% chance
Will Americans' confidence in the presidency decline in 2025, according to Gallup?
40% chance