GPT-5 level model runnable on phones by 2030? | Manifold

GPT-5 level model runnable on phones by 2030?

7

Ṁ147

2030

41%

chance

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1W

1M

ALL

Saw a hn comment proposing they will https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45561528

"They get more efficient every year and home chips get more capable every year. A GPT-5 level model will be on every phone running locally in 5 years."

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bought Ṁ10 YES

Gpt 5 can run on a 24 GB GPU according to the internet, and some phones are already close to that. Following the trend of exponential growth we have seen for the past decades, this seems very likely.

opened a Ṁ50 YES at 51% order

If it's not, that probably means things have collapsed and manifold doesn't exist

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