Will Spacesteading be a thing by the end of 2025? (Read Description)
Basic
6
Ṁ124
2026
30%
chance

Resolves YES if the concept of "spacesteading" is the main topic of an article by any of the following sources:
-NYT
-WSJ
-WaPo
-Matt Yglesias's Slow Boring

-Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin

Not necessary that explicitly the term "spacesteading" is used, for instance "astrosteading" or "cosmosteading" or "space homesteading" or something similar would also resolve YES.

It cannot be part of a listicle like "10 weird tech trends that might happen" or something. It should be the main focus of the piece, even if partially combined with another person or topic, like "Peter Thiel's new funding obsession: Spacesteading".

I will not bet in this market, to remain objective over the resolution.

Inspired by a @PeterWildeford tweet :)

https://x.com/peterwildeford/status/1833175598300315825

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