Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?
Plus
58
Ṁ95392030
35%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@WilliamDewey Completely reasonable as a new user! You might be interested in some of the news discussed in the comments on a related Metaculus question, if you weren't aware of it: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/8129/iran-possesses-fissile-material-for-warhead/
Related questions
Related questions
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?
36% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2040?
56% chance
Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
54% chance
Will Iran use a nuclear weapon in combat by 2030?
14% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2050?
79% chance
Will Iran reach the 'weapons-grade' uranium enrichment threshold before 2025?
43% chance
Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030? Conditional Trump Elected.
40% chance
IF the US re-enters the Iran deal by 2025 end THEN will Iran develop nuclear weapons by 2030?
47% chance
Will Saudi Arabia have nuclear weapons by 2030?
53% chance
Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030? Conditional Harris Elected.
45% chance