Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2025? | Manifold

Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2025?

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51

Ṁ3736

Jan 1

12%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

English Wikipedia, mainspace. If the human can review the edit and choose to stop it before it's published, then it doesn't count.

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This is still too optimistic imo

bought Ṁ750 NO from 21% to 13%

Does it have to be officially sanctioned, or would someone doing it without permission count (assuming they don’t get caught and banned)?

@MitchLindgren https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIkuta/will-ai-be-successfully-editing-wik it would count.

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