Will a Language Model under 10B parameters play chess at Grandmaster level by 2050?
Plus
15
Ṁ10062050
62%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Strength can be assessed through either human play or through playing with machines. GM level means >2500, or whatever the rating cutoff is for the GM title at resolution
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@ashly_webb >doesn’t have a architecture for playing chess
So, like AlphaZero (with a chatbot added)??
Related questions
Related questions
Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?
62% chance
Will any open source LLM with <20 billion parameters outperform GPT-4 on most language benchmarks by the end of 2024?
9% chance
When will a Large Language Model beat me at chess?
Will chess be solved by 2040?
19% chance
Will an LLM (a GPT-like text AI) defeat the World Champion at Chess before 2035?
51% chance
Will chess be solved by 2100?
28% chance
Will a Large Language Model beat me at chess this year?
4% chance
Will AI be able to generate correct images of a chess game in 2024?
19% chance
Will any 10 trillion+ parameter language model that follows instructions be released to the public before 2026?
54% chance
Will language models be able to solve simple graphical mazes by the end of 2025?
67% chance