Resolves based on the number under "Lifetime members" at https://www.givingwhatwecan.org/about-us/members, which is 8,850 as of market creation on 28th April 2024.
Fake pledges or other attempts at manipulation won't be counted, according to the best of my judgment.
1,000
3.00Hi Ben, and welcome to our October newsletter!
Earlier this year, we told you about our goal to hit 10,000 10% Pledges by 2025.
In the coming few months, we’re going to ramp things up in pursuit of that goal!
[...]
Celebrating the 15th anniversary of GWWC and the 10% Pledge by lighting up the internet with stories, quotes, and photos from November 18th to 24th.
[...]
Running a Pledge Week from December 16th to 22nd.
I don't know whether Giving What We Can systematically gets more pledges in pledge season even without these efforts, but maybe? Anyway, I'm far from confident this is going to happen, but 10% seems low to me.
I think the latter only started up in the last year or two; my sense is that GWWC, while having been around for a long time, recently went through some management changes/started staffing up and I now think they're live players in the space. So I wouldn't be that surprised if they do manage to drive many more pledges!
Relevantly, this is an explicit goal that they have, and they've recently started launching partnerships with other organisations with a goal of accelerating their growth. See e.g. https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/uZzXRyAwkDHLfu94W/we-ve-renamed-the-giving-what-we-can-pledge