This market predicts whether Amit will fail to repay his loan by the end of the loan term. Failure to repay includes ONLY missing the final loan expiration payment. Resolution will be based on official loan statements or confirmation from the lender, lendee or both.
Any loan extensions must be approved by both parties and publicly stated on this market or manifold discord.
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Amit fails to fully repay any loan by the end of its term. Failure to repay includes:
Missing the final payment ONLY
Resolution will be based on official loan statements or confirmation from the lender or borrower.
This market will resolve to "No" if Amit doesnt owe any loans for 30 consecutive days.
Background
It's important to note that the exact terms and conditions regarding default are specified in the loan agreement which are screenshotted and shared to my loan officers.
Loan profile info - amitbhalesha.substack.com/p/loan-me-mana
ANY USER CAN PAY MY LOANS / DEBTS OFF INCLUDING LOAN OFFICERS, NON ASSOCIATED PARTIES AND DONATIONS OR GIFTS.
Amit can at any time sell his debt to another user.
CURRENT LOANS
DM ME FOR SAME DEALS AS BELOW.
May 8th 2025 - Ṁ2000 @Robincvgr - 3500 due October 8 2025
May 8th 2025 - Ṁ2000 @GastonKessler - (IMF) in exchange for Ṁ3333 on May 8th 2027
May 8th 2025 - Ṁ1,000 @Nightsquared - 3138 mana due 5/8/26
May 8th 2025 - Ṁ1,500 @Odoacre - 10%/mo interest, 12mo
May 7th 2025 - Ṁ1,500 @spiderduckpig - 10%/mo interest, 12mo
@Bayesian i'm wondering if i can accumulate a big enough position that if this guy goes inactive or becomes insolvent, it becomes profitable for me to save everything myself
@amitiscool it seems like it would be in our interest for our loans to be paid off by any means available

atp just seeing if my shares-costbasis can outrun the size of the moral hazard i'm creating for amit