What will be the most valuable company in the world at the end of 2030?

Plus

Ṁ12k

2031

24%

Nvidia

20%

Microsoft

18%

Apple

10%

Other

Alphabet (Google)

Tesla

Strategy (MSTR)

Amazon

OpenAI

1.9%

Meta (Facebook)

1.4%

Saudi Aramco

1.2%

TSMC

1.1%

SpaceX

Most valuable by either public market cap or private valuation

If there are any spinoffs after this question was created, I will count the combined value of the companies

Post suggestions for companies to add in the comments

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Please add Strategy (MSTR)

@itsTomekK ok done!

What if some of these merge with each other? If resulting co. ends up at top would the original options resolve equally? Perhaps proportionally to size, or just the bigger one at time of merger (this seems easiest)?

sold Ṁ94 YES

@deagol yeah I will try to resolve proportionally to valuation at the time of the merger, if both companies are public then that information will be easy to get.

Eli Lilly (currently #9 market cap)

@MaxGhenis Thanks, added!

Duplicate https://manifold.markets/MikhaFischler/what-will-be-the-largest-company-in?r=TWlraGFGaXNjaGxlcg

@MikhaFischler thanks, didn’t see that when I created this

@MikhaFischler this is end of 2030, that one is start of 2030

OpenAI, gotta be on the list

@Ernie oh of course

BlackRock, Vanguard, State Street Global Advisors.

@JuJumper trillions of AUM does not mean trillions of market cap

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