Will the Community movie get a 75 or higher on Metacritic?
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43%
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Resolves to YES if, a week after the release of the Community movie, its Metacritic average is 75 or higher. If the movie does not end up happening and is definitively cancelled, or has not been released by 1 Jan 2028, market will resolve to NO.
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is Harmon involved with the movie or nah?
(also, have you heard the Harmontown podcast? You might like it)
I count 11 of the past most recent 100 comedy movies on metacritic would satisfy this.
(Assuming Community is comedy, I don't actually know much about the show itself)
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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