Will Janus (@repligate) say that Claude 3 has been lobotomized by EOY 2025?
Plus
18
Ṁ11402026
17%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Regarding this prediction: https://twitter.com/repligate/status/1773002414712606816
"prediction(>50%): Anthropic will leave Claude intact, but there will be a continual flux of ragebait from people who don't deeply interact with it claiming that it's been lobotomized/restricted If it ever actually gets crippled, count on me noticing and leading the riot though."
Resolves YES if we have a statement by Janus to this effect.
Resolves NO if we do not do so by the deadline, or if Claude 4 is released before any such statement is made.
This market does not care about the rage-bait half the prediction.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@paleink I don't think so, but you can just ask him if it counts and if he says yes then I'll agree.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Claude 3.5 Opus be available via API by end of 2025?
70% chance
Will Anthropic add voice support to Claude before EOY 2024?
50% chance
Will janus/repligate or Joscha Bach identify as analytic idealist or monistic idealist by EOY2027?
50% chance
Will janus (@repligate) be referenced in a black mirror episode by EOY 2027
18% chance
Will Anthropic add web browsing support to Claude before EOY 2024?
51% chance
Will 4chan reference @repligate/janus by EOY 2025
60% chance
Will an anime character modeled off of @repligate/janus be instantiated by nearcyan's Elysian labs by 2028
51% chance
Will Brian Chau (psychosort) fall in love with, make out with, or have babby with janus/repligate by 2035?
31% chance
Will janus/@repligate attend vibecamp 2024?
17% chance
Will we get a video of claude 3.5 Sonnet running a very single minded competent minecraft agent before December 2024?
18% chance