Will AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?
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Ṁ69532029
91%
chance
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From https://x.com/_ArnaudS_/status/1793209848953233872, expanded to not refer to Eliezer in particular.
Resolves to YES if any statement is made or question asked, by anyone participating in a briefing, that clearly refers to AI existential risk, even if other words are used. Extinction risk, or any form of 'everyone will die' definitely counts. Intent is what matters here.
Merely catastrophic risk does not count.
Disrupting the proceedings does not count, unless this causes a participant to also mention it.
Resolves NO at the deadline if it hasn't happened yet.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@ZviMowshowitz (or, rather, I am not going to resolve this YES until I have confirmation, one way or another)
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