Who will win Best Actress? (2025 Oscars)
Basic
18
𝕊451
resolved Mar 3
100%22%
Mikey Madison - Anora
67%
Demi Moore - The Substance
2%
Cynthia Erivo - Wicked
2.0%
Karla Sofía Gascón - Emilia Pérez
7%
Fernanda Torres - I'm Still Here

  • The 97th Academy Awards—currently scheduled for March 2nd, 2025—will honor movies released in 2024.

  • This market will close before the ceremony.

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Ouch. I thought Demi Moore deserved to win based purely on acting under that much prosthetics.

Glad to have won so much, but why was the favorite given 25%?....

@Emanuele1000 I bet on Demi Moore because she was acting under a shitload of heavy prosthetics. Also, haven't seen Anora yet

@Manifold @SirSalty Sweep market can be resolved, thank you!

@traders this will close at 7pm. So I made a live one through the night:

https://manifold.markets/HillaryClinton/who-will-win-best-actress-2025-osca-tUQdAdUcEy

reposted

currently, this is one of the more interesting races, so upgrading it to Plus. (let's hope it doesn't become an easy lock in february)

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