Which film will win Best Picture? (2025 Oscars)
Basic
21
𝕊405
resolved Mar 3
100%62%
Anora
4%
The Brutalist
1.8%
Emilia Pérez
24%
Conclave
1.0%
Wicked
2%
A Complete Unknown
1.7%
The Substance
1.0%
Dune: Part Two
1.0%
Nickel Boys
1.7%
I'm Still Here
  • The 97th Academy Awards—currently scheduled for March 2nd, 2025—will honor movies released in 2024.

  • This market will close before the ceremony.

COMPLETE OSCARS DASHBOARD

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

I guess I should watch Anora. Demi Moore deserved to win for pure acting under prosthetic weight tho!

Good evening. Lost by betting too much on my favorites, but made up for it with Anora.

@Manifold @SirSalty Sweep market can be resolved, thank you!

This market will close before the ceremony. In case you want to live trade during the ceremony, I made a simple minimum-liquidity version:

/Ziddletwix/live-trading-which-film-will-win-be

"This market will close before the ceremony."

I lost my power

reposted

Very related market—if Anora wins Best Picture, is Sean Baker a lock for director? How strong is the correlation?

/Ziddletwix/will-the-same-film-win-both-best-pi-hcCdLuzOZZ

boughtṀ1,000 YES

@bagelfan better price here if you'd like: /AndrewKeen/what-movie-will-win-the-2025-oscar (linking bc i have a very large anora position there whose value just recovered and i would not mind selling it at a better price than here)

(edit hmmm actually nvm not sure i'll leave a sell order up there didn't see anora won the PGA as well, now might be buying more who knows)

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules