By 2030, will there be credible claims that Mullvad VPN logs user activity?
By 2030, will there be credible claims that Mullvad VPN logs user activity?
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Mullvad claims to follow a "No-logging of user activity policy" (https://mullvad.net/en/help/no-logging-data-policy/ accessed on March 26, 2023).
By 2030, will there be credible reports that Mullvad VPN has substantially broken that promise?
This market resolves "Yes", if reports appear that the policy has been broken by any of Mullvad's activities, including any white-labelled offerings such as Mozilla VPN and any affiliated businesses that are substantially controlled by Mullvad or its employees.
This market resolves "No" if no reports appear.
This market can be resolved by a Manifold Markets employee if I am not around by 2030.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00