Will I perform at Fyre Festival II?
Will I perform at Fyre Festival II?
➕
Plus
32
Ṁ1399
2027
16%
chance

I'm a modestly accomplished musician with my music featured in a popular video game mod and an album released in late 2023 that has amassed about 2500 listens in 4 months as well a small number of sales. I'm also a competent bassist and singer with concert experience. I also have an intentionally obscure band of little renown.

Fyre Festival II is currently scheduled for December 6th, 2024 but they reserve the right to reschedule in the future.

I will resolve this market as YES if I perform as an official part of the festival in any capacity, whether with my own music under one of my artist names or with another artist/band as an official artist at the festival.

Artist names to look out for:

Datura Lacroye

DJ ZOTA

Lasagna, The Food

Relevant links for update posts/videos:

https://open.spotify.com/artist/76OXmqyY4UHgVX60OtK9To?si=HrrAfkNAQ6mNh6kFe0U-2Q&nd=1&dlsi=df2a86f856894e89

https://www.youtube.com/@daturalacroyemusic

https://twitter.com/DaturaLacroye

https://daturalacroye.bandcamp.com/album/ryncaria

https://www.youtube.com/@djzota7442

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00


Sort by:
1y

Wasn't that a huge disaster?

Or am I thinking of something else?

1y

@nuclearD Correct, the first one was a massive disaster that landed the organizer in prison. He has since been released from prison and is planning a second festival.

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana Ṁ and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash S to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
S1.00
→ $1.00
, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules