Will Jerome Powell cease to hold the office of Chair of the Federal Reserve before 2026?
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resolved Feb 12
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From the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest:

Will resolve according to the Metaculus resolution:

This question will resolve as Yes if, before January 1, 2026, Eastern Time, Jerome Powell is no longer the Chair of the Federal Reserve.

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You all had about four hours between posts to realize that Orange Man Bad.

bought Ṁ750 YES

https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/trump-has-for-months-privately-discussed-firing-fed-chair-powell-628d3d79

President Trump has privately discussed firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell for months, including in meetings with potential replacement Kevin Warsh

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/17/business/economy/trump-jerome-powell-fed.html

President Trump lashed out on Thursday at Jerome H. Powell, the chair of the Federal Reserve, saying, “Powell’s termination cannot come fast enough!”

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